SEL8 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 398 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 715 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2012 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST COLORADO NORTHWEST KANSAS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 715 PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF MCCOOK NEBRASKA TO 50 MILES SOUTH OF GOODLAND KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 395...WW 396...WW 397... DISCUSSION...ARC OF DEEP CONVECTION WAS INCREASING AHEAD OF LEE-TROUGH/DRYLINE IN NORTHEAST CO. AIR MASS TO THE EAST OF THIS CONVECTION IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND SHOULD FUEL ONGOING DEVELOPMENT AND PROVIDES POTENTIAL FOR INCREASING DEVELOPMENT. MASS TRANSPORT INTO THE AREA WILL BE ENHANCED BY THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL LLJ AND SUBSEQUENT WARM AIR ADVECTION RESULTS IN ISENTROPIC ASCENT ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. A BELT OF MODEST MID LEVEL WLY FLOW OF 25-30KT...BASED ON REGIONAL VWPS...WILL ALSO RESULT IN SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR TO MAINTAIN STORM ORGANIZATION WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A SMALL MCS EVOLVING AND SPREADING EAST ACROSS NWRN KS/SWRN NEB OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WITH THIS ACTIVITY. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020. "INFORMS YOU ON WEATHER" THIS BLOG WILL INFORM ON WEATHER MOSTLY FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO MOST AREAS DURRING SEVERE WEATHER.
Friday, June 15, 2012
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST COLORADO NORTHWEST KANSAS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 715 PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT
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