THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF MT/WY AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK 

TORNADO OUTLOOK 

WIND OUTLOOK

HAIL OUTLOOK 

   SPC AC 051236          DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK       NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK     0736 AM CDT TUE JUN 05 2012          VALID 051300Z - 061200Z          ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF MT/WY...          ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST     STATES...          ...WY/MT...     A POTENT UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT THIS MORNING OVER THE WESTERN     STATES...WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH     OVER WESTERN NV.  THIS TROUGH IS FORECAST TO BECOME     NEGATIVELY-TILTED THIS AFTERNOON AND SURGE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE     NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.  70-80 KNOT MID     LEVEL WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE UPPER TROUGH AS IT ROTATES ACROSS     PARTS OF WY/MT THIS EVENING.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS AHEAD OF THE     FEATURE SHOW STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT CAPE FOR     A RISK OF A FEW FAST-MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN WY THIS     AFTERNOON.  THOSE STORMS THAT FORM WILL POSE A RISK OF DAMAGING     WINDS.  AS THE STORMS EMERGE INTO THE HIGH PLAINS OF CENTRAL     MT...BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS AND GREATER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL     PROMOTE INCREASED STORM-SCALE ORGANIZATION.  SUPERCELLS AND BOWS     WILL BECOME LIKELY WITH STORMS RACING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE CANADIAN     BORDER.  DAMAGING WINDS /INCLUDING SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WINDS/ AND     LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH THE RISK OF A TORNADO OR     TWO.          ...SOUTHEAST STATES...     A WARM/MOIST AIR MASS IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FROM     PORTIONS OF MS/AL TO THE GA COAST.  ALL MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE SIMILAR     IN DEVELOPING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THIS AXIS.  A REMNANT     MCV NOW OVER SOUTHWEST AL WILL TRACK ACROSS THE REGION...PROVIDING     POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZATION.  OTHERWISE...STORMS WILL BE IN AN     ENVIRONMENT OF SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL     CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.  STORMS SHOULD     WEAKEN RATHER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET.          ...TX...     A CONVECTIVELY-AIDED MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS FORMED OVER WEST TX.      THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE THE FOCUS FOR RENEWED CONVECTION THIS     AFTERNOON.  HOT/HUMID CONDITIONS WILL YIELD MODERATE INSTABILITY.      SHEAR WILL BE WEAK...BUT SEVERAL SLOW-MOVING INTENSE STORMS ARE     POSSIBLE WITH A RISK OF GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.          ..HART/MOSIER.. 06/05/2012          NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z     CURRENT UTC TIME: 1246Z (7:46AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME