Tuesday, June 5, 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 358





   SEL8          URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED     SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 358     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK     1225 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2012          THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A     SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF                  FAR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA            NORTHERN FLORIDA            CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA            FAR SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA            COASTAL WATERS          EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1225 PM UNTIL     900 PM EDT.          HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70     MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.          THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75     STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST OF     BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO 45 MILES NORTH OF MARIANNA FLORIDA.  FOR A     COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE     UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).          REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE     FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH     AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR     THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS     AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY     DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.          DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND     INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT SETTLING SWD     THROUGH THE REGION.  MODIFICATION OF 12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS WITH     CURRENT SURFACE CONDITIONS SUGGESTS THAT AIR MASS IS ALREADY     MODERATELY UNSTABLE /I.E. MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J PER KG/ WITH LITTLE     OR NO CONVECTIVE INHIBITION.  WHEN COUPLED WITH 30-40 KT OF DEEP     WNWLY SHEAR...SETUP WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS AND     BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.          AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT     TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60     KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM     MOTION VECTOR 29035.

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