URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 408 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1010 PM CDT MON JUN 18 2012 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 1010 PM UNTIL 400 AM CDT. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF ABERDEEN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF REDWOOD FALLS MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 407... DISCUSSION...POTENTIAL IS INCREASING FOR VIGOROUS TSTM DEVELOPMENT ROOTED ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER AS A FAST-MOVING LOW AMPLITUDE IMPULSE SPREADS EAST FROM THE HIGH PLAINS...AND THE NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS TO AID DEEP-LAYER ASCENT ACROSS ERN SD AND WRN MN THROUGH TONIGHT. PLUME OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE FLUX ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL FUEL INTENSIFYING STORM UPDRAFTS AMIDST MORE THAN ADEQUATE EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR UPDRAFT PERSISTENCE AND ROTATION. SINCE STRONG SURFACE-BASED INHIBITION WILL LIMIT BOUNDARY LAYER COUPLING...EXPECT THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM THIS DEVELOPING CONVECTION TO BE LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER...WITH TIME...INTENSIFYING COLD POOL AND STRENGTH OF THE MEAN-LAYER FLOW...MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO OVERCOME BOUNDARY LAYER INHIBITION AND SUPPORT A FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS WITH AND INCREASING CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WINDS. IF THIS SCENARIO OCCURS...GREATEST RISK MAY EVOLVE AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF MN. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030. ...CARBIN"INFORMS YOU ON WEATHER" THIS BLOG WILL INFORM ON WEATHER MOSTLY FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO MOST AREAS DURRING SEVERE WEATHER.
Monday, June 18, 2012
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 1010 PM UNTIL 400 AM CDT
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment