Wednesday, June 20, 2012

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1232, AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF E CENTRAL MN AND INTO NWRN WI CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE





        MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1232     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK     0940 AM CDT WED JUN 20 2012          AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF E CENTRAL MN AND INTO NWRN WI          CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE           VALID 201440Z - 201615Z          PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT          SUMMARY...FAST-MOVING/BOWING STORM CLUSTER MAY POSE A RISK OF     ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.          DISCUSSION...LATEST VWP/PROFILER DATA SHOWS STRONG WSWLY FLOW     THROUGH THE LOWER AND MIDDLE TROPOSPHERE ACROSS THE SERN QUARTER OF     MN ATTM...CONTRIBUTING TO THE FAST /65 KT/ NEWD MOVEMENT OF A BOWING     STORM CLUSTER OVER E CENTRAL MN ATTM.  WHILE THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF     THE CONVECTION IS ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ATTM...BROKEN CLOUD COVER     EVIDENT DOWNSTREAM WILL PERMIT CONTINUED HEATING/MODEST     DESTABILIZATION THIS MORNING.  THE DESTABILIZING AIRMASS SHOULD     ALLOW THE CONVECTION TO PERSIST/POSSIBLY INCREASE...ALONG WITH THE     POTENTIAL FOR AN UPTICK IN POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING     WINDS.  WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THERMODYNAMIC EVOLUTION ACROSS     THIS REGION AS IT PERTAINS TO POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE.          ..GOSS/HART.. 06/20/2012               ATTN...WFO...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...          LAT...LON   44729315 45379357 45609411 46079387 46299285 46769118                 46279016 45548995 44739035 44729315      

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