MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1232 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0940 AM CDT WED JUN 20 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF E CENTRAL MN AND INTO NWRN WI CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 201440Z - 201615Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...FAST-MOVING/BOWING STORM CLUSTER MAY POSE A RISK OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. DISCUSSION...LATEST VWP/PROFILER DATA SHOWS STRONG WSWLY FLOW THROUGH THE LOWER AND MIDDLE TROPOSPHERE ACROSS THE SERN QUARTER OF MN ATTM...CONTRIBUTING TO THE FAST /65 KT/ NEWD MOVEMENT OF A BOWING STORM CLUSTER OVER E CENTRAL MN ATTM. WHILE THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION IS ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ATTM...BROKEN CLOUD COVER EVIDENT DOWNSTREAM WILL PERMIT CONTINUED HEATING/MODEST DESTABILIZATION THIS MORNING. THE DESTABILIZING AIRMASS SHOULD ALLOW THE CONVECTION TO PERSIST/POSSIBLY INCREASE...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN UPTICK IN POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THERMODYNAMIC EVOLUTION ACROSS THIS REGION AS IT PERTAINS TO POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE. ..GOSS/HART.. 06/20/2012 ATTN...WFO...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX... LAT...LON 44729315 45379357 45609411 46079387 46299285 46769118 46279016 45548995 44739035 44729315 "INFORMS YOU ON WEATHER" THIS BLOG WILL INFORM ON WEATHER MOSTLY FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO MOST AREAS DURRING SEVERE WEATHER.
Wednesday, June 20, 2012
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1232, AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF E CENTRAL MN AND INTO NWRN WI CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
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