MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1089

        MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1089     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK     0358 PM CDT WED JUN 06 2012          AREAS AFFECTED...SE CO AND NE NM          CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY           VALID 062058Z - 062300Z          PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT          SUMMARY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER SE CO/NE NM WILL     MOVE EAST INTO AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR LOCALIZED STRONG WIND     GUSTS AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON     HOURS. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENTLY ISOLATED     SUCH THAT A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.          DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING WEST OF TRINIDAD     CO AND ALSO OVER THE RATON MESA IN NE NM. AS THESE STORMS MOVE E/SE     INTO AN ENVIRONMENT WITH 1500-2000 J/KG OF MLCAPE AND STEEP     LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STRONG WIND     GUSTS AND POSSIBLY MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.     DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VALUES OF AROUND 25 KTS EXIST ACROSS THE AREA WHICH     SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR MAINLY MULTICELL STORM STRUCTURES.           A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED OWING TO THE LOCALIZED NATURE OF     THE SEVERE THREAT.          ..BUNTING/WEISS.. 06/06/2012               ATTN...WFO...AMA...PUB...ABQ...