MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1073 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0234 PM CDT TUE JUN 05 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF SOUTHERN GA/FAR NORTH FL CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 358... VALID 051934Z - 052100Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 358 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTM WATCH 358 CONTINUES UNTIL 01Z...WITH THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT CONTINUING ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST GA. PRIMARY HAZARDS REMAIN DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL. DISCUSSION...STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS HAVE BECOME MORE NUMEROUS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS /SINCE 18Z/...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST GA IN VICINITY OF A SOUTHWARD SAGGING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WHILE SOME INITIAL SUPERCELLS OCCURRED/PRODUCED LARGE HAIL...CONSIDERABLE CELL MERGERS/CONSOLIDATION NEAR THE EFFECTIVE FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LEAD TO A DEGREE OF UPSCALE GROWTH WITH MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND THREAT /VS LARGE HAIL/. MULTIPLE QUASI-LINEAR/BOWING COMPLEXES...NORTH/SOUTH OF THE MACON AREA AND AROUND THE I-75 CORRIDOR AS OF 1930Z...WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A SHORT-TERM SEVERE /MAINLY WIND/ THREAT...BUT OTHERWISE ARE LIKELY TO ULTIMATELY WEAKEN AS THEY SPREAD EASTWARD AND ENCOUNTER A MORE STABLE AIRMASS TO THE NORTH OF THE OUTFLOW REINFORCED EFFECTIVE BOUNDARY. THE MOST INTENSE STORM DEVELOPMENT/REGENERATION SHOULD CONTINUE TO OCCUR ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST GA IN A PROGRESSIVELY-SOUTHWARD FASHION IN VICINITY OF THE WNW-ESE ORIENTED EFFECTIVE FRONTAL ZONE. FARTHER SOUTH...AIDED BY SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES...ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ON AN MORE ISOLATED BASIS ACROSS FAR NORTH FL/FL PANHANDLE WITHIN A MORE MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC/VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. ..GUYER.. 06/05/2012 ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...MOB... "INFORMS YOU ON WEATHER" THIS BLOG WILL INFORM ON WEATHER MOSTLY FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO MOST AREAS DURRING SEVERE WEATHER.
Tuesday, June 5, 2012
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1073
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