MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1072 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0220 PM CDT TUE JUN 05 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST OK AND TX PANHANDLE CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 051920Z - 052045Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY ISOLATED THAT A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM. DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED TO THE NORTH OF AN MCV WHICH HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE SRN PANHANDLE AND SOUTH PLAINS. THIS AREA IS ALONG THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT RESULTING FROM DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND IN AN ENVIRONMENT WHERE A BELT OF STRONGER MID LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS EXISTS AS DEPICTED BY THE LATEST KAMA VWP. THIS SETUP MAY LEAD TO ORGANIZED WESTWARD-MOVING MULTICELL STORMS POSING A RISK OF STRONG WINDS AND HAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTN. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY ISOLATED TO PRECLUDE A WW. ..BUNTING/MEAD.. 06/05/2012 ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... "INFORMS YOU ON WEATHER" THIS BLOG WILL INFORM ON WEATHER MOSTLY FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO MOST AREAS DURRING SEVERE WEATHER.
Tuesday, June 5, 2012
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1072
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