Tuesday, May 29, 2012

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 313




   SEL3          URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED     TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 313     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK     1230 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012          THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A     TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF                  EXTREME WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS            EASTERN NEW YORK            VERMONT          EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL     900 PM EDT.          TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND     GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE     AREAS.          THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE     MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH OF GLENS FALLS     NEW YORK TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BURLINGTON VERMONT.  FOR     A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH     OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).          REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR     TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH     AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR     THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS     AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.          OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...          DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITHIN AN ENHANCED     CU/TCU FIELD WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS...AND CONTINUED HEATING OCCURS     AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  A VERY UNSTABLE     ENVIRONMENT WITH MUCAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG AND 30-40 KT DEEP LAYER     SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH     POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  SOUTHERLY LOW     LEVEL WINDS OVER THE HUDSON VALLEY AND EAST INTO VT WILL ALSO     ENHANCE LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTING THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS     AFTERNOON.          AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL     SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE     WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO     500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.

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