Tuesday, May 29, 2012

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0960




        MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0960     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK     0149 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012          AREAS AFFECTED...NH AND FAR WRN ME          CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY           VALID 291849Z - 291945Z          PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT          SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS UPSTATE NY INTO VT WILL CONTINUE TO     PROGRESS EWD...BUT QUICKLY BECOME ELEVATED AND WEAKEN INTO NH AND     WRN ME. ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE SEVERE     HAIL...LIMITED COVERAGE AND DURATION WILL PRECLUDE A WW ISSUANCE.          DISCUSSION...SEVERAL SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING WITHIN THE WARM     SECTOR...WITH CONFIRMED REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT HAIL AND DMGG WINDS     WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION WILL SPREAD EWD     INTO NH AND ME...INSTABILITY BECOMES QUITE LIMITED EAST OF THE WARM     FRONT. WITH LINGERING STRATUS AND ANVILS OVERSPREADING THE     AREA...DESTABILIZATION IS NOT EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS MAY     PRODUCE SEVERE HAIL AS THEY CROSS INTO NH...A RAPID WEAKENING TREND     IS LIKELY.          ..HURLBUT/WEISS.. 05/29/2012               ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...

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