MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0960 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0149 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...NH AND FAR WRN ME CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 291849Z - 291945Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS UPSTATE NY INTO VT WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EWD...BUT QUICKLY BECOME ELEVATED AND WEAKEN INTO NH AND WRN ME. ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE SEVERE HAIL...LIMITED COVERAGE AND DURATION WILL PRECLUDE A WW ISSUANCE. DISCUSSION...SEVERAL SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...WITH CONFIRMED REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT HAIL AND DMGG WINDS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION WILL SPREAD EWD INTO NH AND ME...INSTABILITY BECOMES QUITE LIMITED EAST OF THE WARM FRONT. WITH LINGERING STRATUS AND ANVILS OVERSPREADING THE AREA...DESTABILIZATION IS NOT EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE SEVERE HAIL AS THEY CROSS INTO NH...A RAPID WEAKENING TREND IS LIKELY. ..HURLBUT/WEISS.. 05/29/2012 ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV..."INFORMS YOU ON WEATHER" THIS BLOG WILL INFORM ON WEATHER MOSTLY FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO MOST AREAS DURRING SEVERE WEATHER.
Tuesday, May 29, 2012
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0960
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