MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0954

        MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0954     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK     1043 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012          AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN NY...NERN PA...FAR W CNTRL VT          CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE           VALID 291543Z - 291645Z          SUMMARY...AN UPGRADE TO MDT RISK APPEARS TO BE WARRANTED ACROSS     PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST WITH THE 1630Z OUTLOOK. A PRIMARY THREAT     OF DMGG WIND IS EXPECTED...THOUGH LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. AN     ENHANCED TORNADO THREAT MAY EXIST ALONG THE HUDSON VALLEY AND     PORTIONS OF WRN NEW ENGLAND LATER TODAY.          DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS     AFTERNOON WITH THE APPROACH OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH. WITH VARIOUS     AREAS OF INITIATION POSSIBLE AND STORMS APPROACHING FROM THE     W...SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE     REGION. GIVEN STRONGER LOW LEVEL WINDS ACROSS CNTRL NY INTO WRN NEW     ENGLAND AND THE SEASONABLY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS...AN UPGRADE TO     MDT FOR DMGG WINDS APPEARS WARRANTED. PLEASE SEE THE UPCOMING 1630Z     OUTLOOK FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.          ..HURLBUT/WEISS.. 05/29/2012               ATTN...WFO...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...          LAT...LON   41387483 41387574 42007744 42607736 43617568 44177445                 44217388 43857315 43577301 42437339 41627400 41387483