
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 412 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 535 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MINNESOTA LAKE SUPERIOR EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 535 PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT. HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DETROIT LAKES MINNESOTA TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ELY MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF NRN MN INTO THE EVENING WITH HAIL AND HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR NORTH OF A SHARP WARM FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS CNTRL MN WITH ORIGINS NEAR A SFC LOW IN ERN SD. LIFT ACROSS THE WARM FRONT SHOULD INCREASE AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES EAST FROM THE ROCKIES AND LOW LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES. AIR MASS TRAJECTORIES ORIGINATING FROM THE VERY HOT AND CAPPED REGIME ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS WILL ACT TO FUEL ROBUST UPDRAFTS AMIDST POTENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 50-60KT. ORGANIZED LINE SEGMENTS AND PERHAPS EVEN EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES APPEAR LIKELY TO CONTINUE WITH BOTH WIND DAMAGE AND LARGE HAIL ACCOMPANYING THE MORE INTENSE CORES. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
SORRY FOR THE DELAY ON GETTING THIS WATCH OUT.
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