MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1062 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0842 PM CDT MON JUN 04 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CNTRL ID...WRN MT CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 352...354... VALID 050142Z - 050315Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 352...354...CONTINUES. SUMMARY...SEVERE WIND AND HAIL THREATS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS MAINLY WW 352 AND MAY EVENTUALLY DEVELOP TOWARDS WW 354 BY LATE EVENING. A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IN N-CNTRL ID. DISCUSSION...SEVERE WIND THREAT IS INCREASING ACROSS WRN ID WITH STRENGTHENING POST-FRONTAL CONVECTION EVIDENT IN RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MEASURED 52 KT GUSTS WITH THUNDER AT KBOI AND KEUL SINCE 01Z. A DEEPLY-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER SAMPLED IN THE BOI 00Z RAOB AND SLYS AOA 50 KT DOWN TO AROUND 600 MB /PER BOI VWP DATA/ WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED POST-FRONTAL CONVECTION WITH THREATS OF SEVERE WIND/HAIL. PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION OVER THE CNTRL ID/WRN MT MTNS HAS BEGUN TO SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING PER RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. STILL...UNTIL THE FRONT CLEARS THESE AREAS...A MARGINAL RISK FOR A BRIEF TORNADO EXISTS OVER N-CNTRL ID WHERE 50S SURFACE DEW POINTS REMAIN PREVALENT NEAR A WEAK MESOLOW AROUND 20 W KP69. ..GRAMS.. 06/05/2012 ATTN...WFO...TFX...PIH...MSO...BOI...OTX...PDT... "INFORMS YOU ON WEATHER" THIS BLOG WILL INFORM ON WEATHER MOSTLY FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO MOST AREAS DURRING SEVERE WEATHER.
Monday, June 4, 2012
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1062
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