Monday, June 4, 2012

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1062




        MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1062     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK     0842 PM CDT MON JUN 04 2012          AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CNTRL ID...WRN MT          CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 352...354...          VALID 050142Z - 050315Z          THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH     352...354...CONTINUES.          SUMMARY...SEVERE WIND AND HAIL THREATS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT     SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS MAINLY WW 352 AND MAY EVENTUALLY DEVELOP     TOWARDS WW 354 BY LATE EVENING. A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO IS POSSIBLE IN     THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IN N-CNTRL ID.          DISCUSSION...SEVERE WIND THREAT IS INCREASING ACROSS WRN ID WITH     STRENGTHENING POST-FRONTAL CONVECTION EVIDENT IN RADAR/SATELLITE     IMAGERY AND MEASURED 52 KT GUSTS WITH THUNDER AT KBOI AND KEUL SINCE     01Z. A DEEPLY-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER SAMPLED IN THE BOI 00Z RAOB AND     SLYS AOA 50 KT DOWN TO AROUND 600 MB /PER BOI VWP DATA/ WILL REMAIN     SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED POST-FRONTAL CONVECTION WITH THREATS OF     SEVERE WIND/HAIL. PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION OVER THE CNTRL ID/WRN MT     MTNS HAS BEGUN TO SUBSIDE WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING PER     RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. STILL...UNTIL THE FRONT CLEARS     THESE AREAS...A MARGINAL RISK FOR A BRIEF TORNADO EXISTS OVER     N-CNTRL ID WHERE 50S SURFACE DEW POINTS REMAIN PREVALENT NEAR A WEAK     MESOLOW AROUND 20 W KP69.          ..GRAMS.. 06/05/2012               ATTN...WFO...TFX...PIH...MSO...BOI...OTX...PDT... 

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