Tuesday, June 19, 2012

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA NORTHWEST WISCONSIN EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 610 PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT






     URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED     TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 413     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK     610 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2012          THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A     TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF                  CENTRAL MINNESOTA            NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA            NORTHWEST WISCONSIN          EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 610 PM     UNTIL 100 AM CDT.          TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND     GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE     AREAS.          THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE     MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST OF WATERTOWN     SOUTH DAKOTA TO 125 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF SAINT CLOUD     MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE     ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).          REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR     TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH     AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR     THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS     AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.          OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 412...          DISCUSSION...INTENSE WARM FRONT EXTENDS IN A ENEWD FASHION FROM A     SFC LOW IN ERN SD...ACROSS CNTRL MN...AND INTO NRN WI. A VERY     MOIST...UNSTABLE AND CURRENTLY CAPPED AIR MASS EXISTS NEAR THE SFC     LOW AND ALONG THE FRONT. E TO ENE SFC WINDS NEAR THE FRONTAL ZONE     VEER STRONGLY TO SLY JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE AND THE SWLY AT MID     LEVELS RESULTING IN VOLATILE EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES IN EXCESS OF 500     M2/S2 AND PRONOUNCED HODOGRAPH CURVATURE. GIVEN MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER     FOCUSED ALONG THE BOUNDARY...LFC IS ALSO LOCALLY LOW NEAR THE FRONT     AND SUPPORTIVE OF STORM UPDRAFTS INITIATING NEARER THE SFC. THERE IS     CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY...HOWEVER...REGARDING SFC-BASED STORM     INITIATION IN SUCH A STRONGLY CAPPED REGIME. HOWEVER...TIME OF DAY     AND STRENGTHENING FORCING FOR DEEP ASCENT IN THE FORM OF AN     APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND STRENGTHENING LLJ...WHEN COMBINED     WITH SUCH A SUPPORTIVE KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT FOR TORNADO     POTENTIAL...WARRANT THE ISSUANCE OF THE TORNADO WATCH ALONG THE WARM     FRONT THIS EVENING.          AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL     SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE     WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO     500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025. 
SORRY FOR THE DELAY OF GETTING THIS WATCH OUT. 

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