Friday, June 8, 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 363




   SEL3          URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED     SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 363     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK     545 PM MDT FRI JUN 8 2012          THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A     SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF                  EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MONTANA          EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 545 PM     UNTIL 100 AM MDT.          HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70     MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.          THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100     STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH     NORTHEAST OF GLASGOW MONTANA TO 25 MILES WEST OF MILES CITY     MONTANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE     ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).          REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE     FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH     AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR     THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS     AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY     DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.          DISCUSSION...AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY OF STORMS IS EXPECTED     THIS EVENING IN THE AREA W OF A LINE FROM GGW-MLS...ALONG A SURFACE     FRONT TO THE N OF A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE WY/MT BORDER...AS A     MIDLEVEL LOW MOVES EWD OVER THE NRN ROCKIES.  LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE     WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NWWD FROM THE DAKOTAS INTO ERN MT...WHERE     THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY/VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR     SUPERCELLS.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE     THREATS THROUGH TONIGHT...THOUGH A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE     THIS EVENING IN NE MT WHERE A DISCRETE STORM ENCOUNTERS A MORE MOIST     BOUNDARY LAYER IN THE GGW-GDV-JDN AREA.          AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT     TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60     KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM     MOTION VECTOR 25025.

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