SEL5 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 335 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 225 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2012 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO WESTERN OKLAHOMA TEXAS PANHANDLE EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF RATON NEW MEXICO TO 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GAGE OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 332...WW 333...WW 334... DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A WEAK FRONT/WIND SHIFT SPREADING SEWD FROM CO THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL LIKELY FORM ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SERN CO AND NERN NM AND TRACK SEWD. STRONG SURFACE HEATING AND MODEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG A RESIDUAL FRONT BACKED INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE INSTABILITY THAT SHOULD FUEL THE DEVELOPING TSTMS. MID LEVEL FEATURES SUPPORTING STRONGER LARGE SCALE ASCENT ACROSS THE REGION REMAIN NONDESCRIPT. HOWEVER...THE ENTIRE REGION LIES BENEATH THE SWRN FLANK OF STRONGER NWLY MID LEVEL FLOW WHICH...ATOP LOW LEVEL SLY FLOW...SHOULD RESULT IN EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 50KT. THUS KINEMATIC AND THERMODYNAMIC REGIME WILL BE MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR UPDRAFT PERSISTENCE AND ROTATION. PRIMARY SEVERE IMPACTS SHOULD BE LARGE HAIL...PERHAPS A HAIL FEW REPORTS AOA 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A TORNADO OR TWO IF DISCRETE CELLS CAN DEVELOP NEAR/ALONG WIND SHIFT/OUTFLOW SITUATED FROM WRN OK INTO SWRN KS WHERE LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE ENHANCED. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT LACK OF GREATER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OUTFLOW DOMINANT STORMS SHOULD KEEP TORNADO POTENTIAL LIMITED. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33030. "INFORMS YOU ON WEATHER" THIS BLOG WILL INFORM ON WEATHER MOSTLY FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO MOST AREAS DURRING SEVERE WEATHER.
Friday, June 1, 2012
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 335
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