MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1091 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0937 PM CDT WED JUN 06 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY/NEB PANHANDLE/NERN CO CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 361... VALID 070237Z - 070300Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 361 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...GREATEST SVR WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACROSS THE CO PORTION OF WW 361. LOCAL WFO TEMPORAL EXTENSION MAY BE NEEDED BEYOND 03Z...ACCOUNTING FOR RESIDUAL INSTABILITY. DISCUSSION...DESPITE WEAKER MIDLEVEL WINDS WITH SSEWD EXTENT INTO ERN CO...A CONTINUED STRENGTHENING OF SELY LOW LEVEL WINDS INTO THE CO FRONT RANGE /30-40 KT/ PER WIND PROFILERS/WSR-88DS HAS ENHANCED BULK SHEAR TO 35-40 KT SUPPORTIVE OF UPDRAFT ROTATION. THIS THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONFINED TO CENTRAL CO...GENERALLY BETWEEN DEN-COS WHERE FAVORABLE UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME WILL SUSTAIN PERSISTENT COMPLEX OF STORMS IN THAT AREA. THUS...UNTIL INSTABILITY IS DEPLETED AND/OR SURFACE BASED INHIBITION STRENGTHENS...THEN A SMALL SRN PORTION OF THIS WW MAY NEED TO BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME BEYOND THE SCHEDULED EXPIRATION OF 03Z. ..PETERS.. 06/07/2012 ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...CYS... LAT...LON 38890365 39060430 39120531 40340508 41040502 41370528 42050518 42580447 42980397 42980298 40940306 39540339 39540372 38890365 "INFORMS YOU ON WEATHER" THIS BLOG WILL INFORM ON WEATHER MOSTLY FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO MOST AREAS DURRING SEVERE WEATHER.
Wednesday, June 6, 2012
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1091
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