MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1005 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1254 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF ERN NC AND ERN SC CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 011754Z - 011900Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR MUCH OF COASTAL NC/SC. DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS DEVELOPING FROM NEAR GSO IN NC...SWWD TO THE SC/GA BORDER EAST OF AGS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SBCAPE APPROACHING 2500-3000 J/KG. DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 35KT SUGGESTS ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS AND PERHAPS EVEN A FEW SUPERCELLS WILL BE COMMON. ..DARROW/CARBIN.. 06/01/2012 ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...
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