Friday, April 13, 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 161





















URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 161
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   340 PM CDT FRI APR 13 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
          EXTREME WESTERN MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
   CHANUTE KANSAS TO 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF EMPORIA KANSAS.  FOR
   A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 160...
   
   DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE INCREASING INTO EXTREME SERN KS WITHIN A
   MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG. 
   ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF THE
   LOW LEVEL MOISTURE GRADIENT AS THIS RETREATS NWWD THIS EVENING. 
   LOCAL VWP PROFILES EXHIBIT VEERING WITH HEIGHT AND SUFFICIENT DEEP
   LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED CONVECTION INCLUDING A FEW
   SUPERCELLS.  PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND
   GUSTS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ESPECIALLY
   THIS EVENING.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 22025.

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