Mesoscale Discussion 488

Mesoscale Discussion 488 Previous MD

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0488

   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0335 PM CDT TUE APR 10 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX PANHANDLES
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 102035Z - 102230Z
   
   POTENTIAL FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT IS INCREASING ATTM ACROSS THE TX
   PANHANDLE AND SURROUNDING AREAS.  LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD
   EVENTUALLY REQUIRE WW ISSUANCE.
   
   LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BANDS OF SLOWLY INCREASING CU
   IN A NUMBER OF LOCATIONS INVOF THE TX PANHANDLE.  HOWEVER...WITH
   LIMITED SHEAR AND INSTABILITY ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THIS
   AREA...OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW.  GREATEST
   SEVERE THREAT WOULD APPEAR TO EXIST ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THE
   AREA...WHICH LIES ON THE FAR SRN FRINGE OF THE STRONGER FLOW FIELD
   ALOFT.  THOUGH THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS SUPPORTIVE OF LIMITED
   STORM ORGANIZATION AND THUS ONLY LOW-END SEVERE POTENTIAL...WW MAY
   BE WARRANTED IF TRENDS SUGGEST FAIRLY WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
   WOULD BECOME LIKELY.
   
   ..GOSS.. 04/10/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
   
   LAT...LON   36680428 37070453 37440347 36980059 36889991 36279955
               34260007 34140051 34050168 34330362 35490382 36680428