Wednesday, March 28, 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 112


 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 112
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   210 PM EDT WED MAR 28 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EXTREME SOUTHERN INDIANA
          CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
          EXTREME SOUTHERN OHIO
          WESTERN VIRGINIA
          WEST VIRGINIA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
   900 PM EDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST
   OF STAUNTON VIRGINIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING AND
   INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON IN A PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE BAND OVER WV
   INTO SRN OH...WITH ADDITIONAL WWD DEVELOPMENT INTO SRN INDIANA WHERE
   A COLD FRONT IS MOVING SEWD INTO A LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY AXIS. 
   CONVECTION HAS PRIMARILY BEEN ELEVATED INTO THE EARLY
   AFTERNOON...BUT CONTINUED HEATING AND DEVELOPMENT OF A WELL-MIXED
   BOUNDARY LAYER WILL RESULT IN STORMS BECOMING SURFACE-BASED WITH AN
   INCREASING THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS.  VAD PROFILES SHOW STRONG WINDS
   ABOVE THE GROUND IN THE LOWEST 2-3 KM WHICH WILL ENHANCE WIND DAMAGE
   POTENTIAL...AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ALSO PROMOTE LARGE HAIL WITH
   STRONGER CELLS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28045.

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