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LOT issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO)
"INFORMS YOU ON WEATHER" THIS BLOG WILL INFORM ON WEATHER MOSTLY FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO MOST AREAS DURRING SEVERE WEATHER.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 552
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM CDT FRI AUG 3 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1215 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF SELMA
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ON THE S EDGE OF A CLOUD BAND
ACROSS NRN MS/AL WILL PROMOTE NEW THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL MS/AL. STRONG INSTABILITY IS ALREADY
PRESENT ACROSS THIS AREA /MLCAPE AOA 3000 J PER KG/...AND EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR OF 25-30 KT WILL SUPPORT A RISK FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL
CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 36015.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 551
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM MDT THU AUG 2 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MONTANA
WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA
NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHEAST WYOMING
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
900 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES EAST OF
GILLETTE WYOMING TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF WOLF POINT MONTANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 550...
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE INTENSIFYING OVER SERN MT AND NERN WY ALONG
A DRY LINE/CONVERGENCE ZONE...WHILE NEW CU/TCU IS EVIDENT IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY FARTHER NORTH INTO NERN MT WHERE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS REMAIN IN THE 50S. INITIAL ARC OF
WARM ADVECTION CONVECTION FROM NERN MT INTO SWRN ND IS EXPECTED TO
PROGRESS EWD WITH ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPING OVER
ERN MT AND NERN WY. STEEP LAPSE RATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE OF
1000-1500 J/KG...AND 30-40 KT WESTERLY MID LEVEL WINDS ARE RESULTING
IN SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS ACTIVITY SPREADS EWD.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.
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